TOP CONTENDERS: Jimmie Johnson (+500), Tony Stewart (+600), Jeff Gordon (+750)
It’s a no-brainer for this trio to top the betting favorites list this week, as they’ve combined for 15 All-State 400s, including the last five checkered flags at the race.
Jimmie Johnson has had some great showings at the Brickyard and led for a race-high 71 laps last season, but he’s inconsistent, as he has three DNFs in seven tries there. Usually, betting favorites should be safer than that.
Indiana’s Tony Stewart, the 2005 and 2007 champ, should bounce back after finishing 23rd last season. The points leader has a finishing average of 9.1 at the Brickyard and is a safer bet than Johnson to contend, so he makes an excellent sports pick.
What about Jeff Gordon? He has four All-State 400 victories and his 8.6 finishing average at the Brickyard over 15 races leads all active drivers. He’s a very tempting pick since he offers better value than Stewart and Johnson.
SOLID PICKS: Kyle Busch (+850), Denny Hamlin (+1200)
If you’re looking for a bit more value while still playing it safe with your betting management, try Kyle Busch. His average finish is ninth and he has three top-10s at the Brickyard. However, he’s out of sorts lately. He starts at 5.1 on average yet finishes 17.5 over his last eight races. What about Denny Hamlin? He has two top-10s in three tries at this race and he’s been very reliable this season, cracking the top five in five straight races.
THE SLEEPER: Ryan Newman (+2000)
Is it worth taking a flier on another hometown hero? Ryan Newman obviously doesn’t have Stewart’s pedigree, but he’ll be hungry to win and he always starts strong, leading active drivers with a 4.9 starting average at the Brickyard. His equipment gives him a better chance to hold that position than ever before, and you have to like his underdog value. Consider taking the plunge on him.
Betting pick: Ryan Newman +2000